7.15.2019

Poll Prediction Center Website

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I created Poll.wiki to start this idea

This is an idea for a website, app, program, or any other software where users can propose polls and users can vote in polls.  Anything can be asked such as "how many stars are in the sky" to "when will the next recession begin" and everything in between.  It could be thought as a 'poll the audience' tactic like in the show Millionare.  It is well known that if you have a lot of people guess the weight of a cow or how many jellybeans are in a jar, the average of the guesses will approach the true value.  This shows the power of the human mind to analyze.

This website would be an aggregate of difficult questions and the answers people give are a sort of crowdsourcing to predict an answer.  The closest thing to this currently are betting odds, we have recently seen betting odds at 100% that there would be an interest rate cut by the end of july.  The poll prediction center would be a more deliberate and open way to predict the future.

The downside of this is the group with the best analysis of all these polls would have a lot of valuable information and could preduct the future prety well.  But at least the platform would be open and open source and open source tools could be developed to analyze the data by anyone and everyone.

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